2018 - India - HDM4 Roughness and Rut Model Calibration

The Highway Development and Management model (HDM-4) is a tool developed by the World Bank to aid highway administrators and engineers in the process of decision making for preparing of road investment programme and determining the road network maintenance strategies. HDM-4 essentially models the interaction between the traffic volume, environment and pavement composition to predict the different kinds of distress that develop in pavements over time. Since distress is caused due to different conditions and progresses at different rates, therefore it is necessary to calibrate the HDM-4 model as per the local conditions. The aim of the study is to calibrate the HDM-4 pavement deterioration model in terms of rutting and roughness for the urban road network of Patiala (Punjab, India). In our study, we select 15 road sections and group them based on varying traffic and pavement age. The pavement condition data, which was measured starting from 2012 to the end of 2014, is fed as the input to the HDM-4 distress models. The calibration process is performed using statistical analysis between the observed and predicted value of the distress by keeping minimum Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and maximum R-squared(R2 ). The determined calibration factors are validated and further used for developing pavement deterioration models which prove to be helpful in building a Pavement Maintenance and Management system for Patiala.