• 1.png
  • 2.png
  • 3.jpg
  • 4.jpg
  • 5.png
  • 6a.png
  • 7.png
  • 8.png
  • 9.png
  • 10.png
  • 11.png
  • 12.JPG
  • 13.png
  • 14.png
  • 15.png

Welcome to Chris Bennett's and Lis Pedersen's web site. If you are looking for information Chris' current work on affordable housing, please visit www.mygbhousing.info. The video below tells the background to Chris' project.

 

2012 - Japan - Deterioration Prediction for Infrastructure System with Markov Chain Model

927 Downloads

2012 - Japan - Deterioration Prediction for Infrastructure System with Markov Chain Model

In many practices of bridge asset management, life cycle costs are estimated by statistical deterioration prediction models based upon monitoring data collected through inspection activities. In many applications, it is, however, often the case that the validity of statistical deterioration prediction models is flawed by an inadequate stock of inspection dates. In this paper, a systematic methodology is presented to provide estimates of the deterioration process for bridge managers based upon empirical judgments at early stages by experts, and whereby revisions may be made as new data are obtained through later inspections. More concretely, Bayesian estimation methodology is developed to improve the estimation of Markov transition probability of the multi-stage exponential Markov model by Markov chain Monte Carlo method using Gibbs sampling. The paper concludes with an empirical example, using the real world monitoring data, to demonstrate the applicability of the model and its Bayesian estimation method in the case of incomplete monitoring data.

File Name: 2012_japan_markov_baysean_bridge_deterioration_model.pdf
File Size: 1.32 MB
File Type: application/pdf
Hits: 512 Hits
Download: 927 times
Created Date: 25-06-2019
Last Updated Date: 21-03-2018

Adventures

Chris in the NCT Race 

Chris has an adventurous spirit which generally involves cycling, running, or just being out there having a good time. Read his 'Race Reports' below. This is a link to his SPOT GPS tracker. If you are interested in his 'geeky' sport technical blog it is at www.tri-duffer.com. He also has stories of his life as 'An Overtravelled Engineer Working for the World Bank' at World Bank Traveller.

 

Race Reports

Technical

Document Library

 

  • Chris' published papers and reports are here.
  • His Technical Library  has a range of reports 
  • Golden Bay community projects are here.
  • The history of the ROMDAS company is here.
  • The 'Road to Good Health' HIV/AIDs Toolkit is here.

 

Technical Library

Chris and Lis

Chris and Lis

We are Lis Pedersen and Chris Bennett. We’ve been married over 30 years and each found our way to New Zealand in the early 1980s from Denmark and Canada respectively. Golden Bay has been our happy place for almost 20 years and we are now based in Pohara just above the beach, with our two cats Coco and Max. 

 

 

 

Read More